U.S. Stocks Poised for More Losses as Investors Digest Job Data
The U.S. stock market is set to open lower on Monday morning after a tumultuous weekend, with futures signaling another selloff in the wake of disappointing jobs data that has shaken investors' confidence in the economy's resilience.
Job Gains Much Weaker Than Expected
According to the latest numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, job gains over the last three months have averaged just 35,000, significantly lower than expected. This news has sent shockwaves through the market, with many analysts now warning that the U.S. is on the brink of recession.
Analysts Weigh in on Economic Risks
Some top economists are sounding the alarm, citing concerns about consumer spending, housing, and manufacturing indicators that point to a weakening economy. Mark Zandi from Moody's Analytics has warned that the economy is "on the precipice of recession," while economists at JPMorgan have also issued a similar warning.
Tariffs: A Double-Edged Sword
The tariffs imposed by President Trump have been a major topic of discussion in recent weeks, with some analysts arguing that they are having a negative impact on the economy. However, others have suggested that the effects may be being offset by other factors such as AI spending and lower inflationary pressure from housing, cars, and energy.
Wall Street Now More Attuned to Economic Risks
As investors become more aware of the economic risks associated with Trump's trade war, they are now paying closer attention to the tariffs that will go into effect on Thursday. This includes steeper duties on trading partners like Canada and Switzerland, which may receive more scrutiny in the coming days.
Economic Reports Thin Out in Coming Week
The calendar of economic reports is thinning out in the coming week after several big releases last week. On Tuesday, the trade deficit for June will be released, providing an update on how much tariffs are impacting imports. On Thursday, second-quarter productivity data will be released.
Earnings Season Continues
Although earnings season has passed its peak, several top companies will issue quarterly reports in the coming days. Palantir Technologies will report on Monday after securing a $10 billion software and data contract from the Army. Advanced Micro Devices will report on Tuesday, potentially offering hints at Nvidia's results, which don't come out until August 27.
Pharmaceuticals and Biotech Giants Face Steep Tariffs
The pharmaceutical and biotech sectors are also facing uncertainty as Trump weighs steep tariffs on drugs. Companies like Amgen, Pfizer, and Eli Lilly will be releasing earnings reports in the coming week, against this backdrop of economic uncertainty.
Conclusion
As investors continue to digest the latest jobs data and its implications for the economy, it's clear that there is growing concern about a potential recession. The market is expected to open lower on Monday morning, with many analysts warning of further losses in the days ahead.